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Dave Tuley, senior reporter at VSiN.com, is in his third season with the Post’s Bettor’s Guide. His handicapping pieces appear in VSiN’s online magazine, Point Spread Weekly.
Jaguars (+14) over COLTS
Indianapolis needs to win (and get help) to make the playoffs, but I’m on the Jaguars plus the points — and not just because it’s a ton of points. For starters, the Colts just need to win, period, the margin doesn’t matter that much to them. But don’t forget that the Jaguars’ lone win was the huge Week 1 upset, so we know they have the talent to match up with the Colts again. In addition, I believe NFL teams show up every week to win and don’t put much stock in “tanking,” but even if you do, you have to admit the Jags have no reason to tank anymore with the rights to Trevor Lawrence wrapped up and the current players auditioning to be part of the new era.
Falcons (+6.5) over BUCCANEERS
“Tompa Bay” has clinched a wild-card berth, but the Buccaneers still want to stay as the No. 5 seed so they get to visit the sub-.500 NFC Least champ in the first round. However, I’m on the Falcons here, just like last week when they covered against the Chiefs and almost beat them. And don’t forget they nearly upset these same Buccaneers two weeks ago before covering in a 31-27 loss. We’re not asking the Falcons to win outright, just cover again.
Last week: 1-1, Falcons (W), Lions (L).
2020 season: 14-17-1.