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Michigan vs. Penn State prediction, line: Trust the over

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Michigan vs. Penn State prediction, line: Trust the over 1

Conference play in the Big Ten tips off on Sunday, with Michigan and Penn State going at it, as both are cranking things up on offense.

Michigan was known as a slow, methodical team for many years under former coach John Beilein, but with Juwan Howard now in charge, the Wolverines are in the top half of the country in possessions per game and are 13th in points per possession this season.

Penn State went through a coaching change even more recently — Pat Chambers and the team parted way less than six weeks before the start of the season, with former Duquesne coach Jim Ferry taking over. While at Duquesne, Ferry’s teams allowed at least 73.7 points per game in all five of his season — a far cry from the Nittany Lions’ standard, as they have allowed more than 73 points per game just once this millennium.

Nevertheless, Penn State enters the game averaging 81.3 points per game, the most in program history. Four of the Nittany Lions’ top five scorers are making better than 36 percent of their 3-point shots.

Michigan counters with a collective 62.4 percent shooting from inside the 3-point arc, which rates 10th in the country. Because the Nittany Lions rank in the bottom 60 of Division I teams in opponent 2-point shooting percentage, this game figures to feature a bunch of scoring and an up-and-down flow.

The Play: Michigan vs Penn State, Over 150.5 points

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