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Super Bowl 2021 line, prediction: Why stadium will be key for Bucs-Chiefs

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patrick mahomes super bowl 2021 betting line prediction

The Wildcat returns for his 24th season with The Post. Including the 1997-2019 seasons in the Bettor’s Guide, Cat’s record in print stands at 636-537 (54.2 percent) against the spread.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The majority of professionals prefer Tom Brady and the Bucs at the consensus openers, but we must resist the temptations of this underdog for a couple of significant reasons.

A key factor is what is essentially the Bucs’ sustained non-home-field advantage. Tampa Bay too frequently has underperformed at Raymond James, and even with the arrival of Tom Brady, it went just 5-3 ATS at home — failing to cover versus the Chargers, Saints and Rams — while going 4-4 ATS on the road.

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is a transcendent NFL performer, having gone 30-4 straight up in the past two regular seasons and postseasons, with considerable assistance from key tight end Travis Kelce, a dominant performer.

Prediction: Chiefs, 35-24.

Championship Sunday: 1-1. Chiefs (W). Packers (L).

Season: 16-23-1.

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